Weekend links October 29th 2010

Let’s start off this week by an article about insider trading in the Dealbook. This case is not against the promoters, directors or any other senior executives, but rather on a mechanical engineer and a trainman of a railroad company!

From the Dealbook:

Late last month, the Securities and Exchange Commission brought an unusual and colorful insider-trading case: It accused two employees who worked in the rail yard of Florida East Coast Industries and their relatives of making more than $1 million by trading on inside information about the takeover of the company.

How did these employees — a mechanical engineer and a trainman — know their company was on the block?

Well, they were very observant.

They noticed “there were an unusual number of daytime tours” of the rail yard, the S.E.C. said in its complaint, with “people dressed in business attire.”

This looks more like a case of putting 2 and 2 together by these people and making some bets, and not insider trading to me but unfortunately for these two guys my opinion doesn’t count. What do you make of it?

Earlier this week I wrote about volatility and Roger Nusbaum has a very thoughtful post on the difference between risk and volatility. I really liked the post, and recommend it strongly.

Another thoughtful post – this time by Sandip Sabharwal on what long term equity markets should average.

Frank from Bad Money Advice has this great post about gift cards in which he talks about how some gift cards actually sell at a premium, and also how the treasury is worried about terrorists getting their hands on gift cards!

The Digerati Life has this useful post about how you can do stock market research.

Let me end with this post by Deepak Shenoy where he answers some questions from a reader about credit card overcharges.

Enjoy your weekend!

Your salary will increase with inflation too

I got this email early last week (slightly edited):

I would like to know something about annuity. I am 49 yrs old, suppose I am investing Rs. 100,000 yearly till i attain 60 years and NPS is showing growth in total of 1600000.
40% will be 6,40,000.
Now explain to me how annuity of 6,40,000 will help me for rest of my life?/for how long?/how much?
I am still confuse about retirement plan.
If I calculate inflation and I retired at the age of 60 yrs and live up to 75 years. What so ever I save for my retirement plan appears to be peanuts.
Thinking daily on “life after retirement” a am spoiling my today.
If you have some better idea about retirement please guide me.

To me the heart of the problem is the sum that this person expects to accumulate when he is 60, and not the annuity itself because if you can accumulate a decent sum at the time of retirement, then you can do an annuity, fixed deposit, plan your withdrawal rate, whatever, but if you don’t have a lot at that age, then what is the point of thinking about anything else?
In that sense, I think this is slightly different from the earlier discussions we’ve had on this topic here.

In an economy like India where the inflation rate is quite high it is only reasonable to be worried about how inflation will eat into your retirement nest, however the other side of the coin is rarely talked about, if ever at all.

Your salary should also increase to match inflation and you should at least be able to increase your savings by the inflation rate or even if it is a smaller number, there should be some increase right? But this is too often not accounted for even when it’s quite clear that it can be quite a big number.

Let me give you an example: If you invest Rs. 1,00,000 per year for 12 years, and get 8% per annum returns on your investment, at the end of the 12 years you will have a corpus of Rs. 18,97,712, but if you increase your investment by 8% every year by age 60 you will accumulate about Rs. 25 lakhs, and one more year will make this sum go to Rs. 30 lakhs.

I’ve done these calculations here so you can see how I reached that number.

The key is not to be despondent, and start doing the right thing – better late than never right?