Congratulations Dr Singh and India

Very soon, Dr. Manmohan Singh will be re-elected the Prime Minister of India. He will be the second prime minister to have completed one full term and then be elected again.

The mild mannered unassuming man who was the prime architect of India’s economic reforms and liberalization process in the 90’s has always been an unlikely politician.

For starters, he is an economist. He went to Cambridge and Oxford and completed his D Phil from the University of Oxford.

He has also worked in the IMF and the UN, and was the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India from 1982 to 1985.

In a landscape that is dominated by caste based polity and politicians with lengthy criminal records – it is hard not to be impressed by Dr. Manmohan Singh.

India’s reforms were started out of necessity, when the country found itself on the verge of a balance of payment default and it had no other option but to turn to the IMF. In exchange of IMF funds, the country slowly opened up its economy and allowed foreign players to come in and compete along-side the local ones.

Since, the beginning of reforms, the country has managed to lift millions of people out of poverty and a there has been the rise of a new wealthy middle class.

Even then, the reforms have failed to be as popular with the masses as one would have hoped. That’s because the reforms process has helped raise the standard of living substantially more in cities, than in rural areas. And a large part of the population still lives in the rural areas.

It is also true that states in southern India have developed much faster than states in other parts of the country. And that is primarily because of state chief ministers, who were willing to focus on economic reforms; instead of going after caste based vote banks.

Another reason has been the intellectual nature of the champions of the reforms process. The champions of reforms in India like the Prime Minister and Finance Minister are mild-mannered individuals who are not ones you associate with rabble rousing and a populist following. They lack the kind of mass – appeal that many other politicians have, and so far, have not been able to sell the idea of reforms to the masses.

Yet another reason has been the coalition of parties that has ruled the country in the past. The left parties have been part of the coalition at the center and their presence in the government has meant that they were able to block a lot of economic reforms taken by the government and stifle the whole process.

This time they won’t be part of the government and I am optimistic about the reforms process in the country finally taking off.

All the best, and congratulations to Dr. Singh, and India.

Photo Credit: Marko Belluci

Smaller US Banks Need 24 Billion Extra

FT Reports:

Small and medium-sized US banks must raise some $24bn to meet the capital standards set by the government in its stress tests of large institutions, research for the Financial Times shows.

News of the potential capital shortfall could increase pressure on many of the 7,900 US banks that form the backbone of the US financial system.

As many as 500 more banks could close, according to investment bank Sandler O’Neill, which carried out the research.

So, the bigger banks which hold about two – thirds of the assets in the US banking system need 75 billion dollars and the smaller banks, which hold one – third of the assets need about one – third of that amount. Great research.

New York Yankees Stadium Auction

The Yankees are auctioning off about 1,500 pieces of memorabilia from their old stadium. One of the cheapest things you can buy is dirt. Yes, you can buy a spoonful of dirt for $80 which has been in the stadium. It comes encased in the form of a shiny paperweight. Click here.

Here is the description:

This Yankee Stadium Inaugural Season paper weight is laser engraved on the inside with the inaugural season logo. This piece also includes a coin holder filled with actual dirt from Yankee Stadium. This is a great way to celebrate the new building and commemorate the inaugural season. This piece includes an MLB Authentic Hologram and a Yankees-Steiner Letter of Authenticity. Dirt capsules are not filled to capacity.

Here is a snippet from a related Bloomberg piece:

All Yankee dirt since 1952, including the dirt used in the new $1.5 billion stadium across the street from the old building, has come from Beam Clay in Great Meadows, New Jersey.

Even though a coin-shaped dirt memento at $80 is among the cheapest souvenirs on offer, it still seems like a lot to Beam Clay owner Jim Kelsey.

“It’s nice to know something we made means that much to somebody,” Kelsey said in a telephone interview from his business about 65 miles west of the Bronx. “But I can just go outside and get some myself. They could buy a 50-pound bag for a lot less.”

Interesting Reads 5-16-2009

The most thought provoking thing I read this week came from Mark Thoma’s Truth, Justice and the American Way:

We should waterboard Cheney to get the truth about what happened regarding the interrogations. He says it’s not torture, there’s no lasting damage, and it works, so what are we waiting for? I want the ad revenue from the live broadcast.

I can’t believe we are allowing the torture debate to be redefined to be about whether it works, and who knew what when. No matter who knew about it, or when they knew about it, it was wrong and those responsible – Republican or Democrat, whomever – need to be held accountable.

Please read the full post and think about it for a few minutes.

On to something lighter, the funniest thing I saw this week was this Animation: Recession Sing a Long!

Other great articles around the Blogosphere this week:

An Amex Credit Card Bill You Won’t Believe

Should You Contribute to a 401 (K) Without a Match

4 Benefits of Employer Share Purchase Plans and Pensions and 1 Downside

A Quick Note On The Yield Curve for Alex Balk

FICO Credit Score Range

Obama Administration Considering Tackling Financial Pay

Law, Economics and Regulation

Ten Things Dave Ramsey Got Wrong

Setting up a budget for my poor friends?

Investing With Lending Club: Low vs High Risk Loans

Carnivals

Carnival of Wealth, Money and Life

Festival of Frugality

Indian Stock Mania

Scott Adams: Observation About Investing

A few weeks ago, Scott Adams the creator of Dilbert wrote something very interesting on his blog about investing:

Almost everything I ever learned about investing turns out to be wrong. I learned that buying and holding a diversified portfolio of stocks was a sure winning strategy in the long run. So far, my lifetime stock investments are negative.

I learned that the safest investment is real estate, especially in California, because “they aren’t making any more land.” That theory hasn’t worked out too well.

I learned that investing in California municipal bonds was extra safe because they were insured. That’s great until the insurance companies themselves become insolvent.

So if everything that was good is now bad, is there any investment that we all assumed to be bad that is now good? (Other than stuffing cash under the mattress. Too obvious.)

This is the standard, conventional investing advice (or wisdom?) that most of us hold true. Makes me wonder if it’s time to question the answers.

Thoughts?

Industry Wide Deployment of Gross Bank Credit: India

From RBI’s website — here is a graph that states what everyone already knows, but still paints a very telling picture. The figures are in Rupees Crores and represent the deployment of gross bank credit.

The line that will catch your attention is — Construction. Any guesses on how fast this is going to fall from here on?

rbi-deployed-credit

What Would You Do?

Image by Silgeo

Recently, someone in the IT Outsourcing business told me that they preferred to keep a bench (people who have no work) instead of working for customers at a lower price.

They have arrived at a minimum hourly rate that helps them keep their net profit margins at 25% and they don’t accept any business at a lower rate.

They have a substantial bench and do not plan any major layoffs. They want to be prepared for the economy, when it eventually rebounds.

Since employee cost is the major cost component (about 70%) and they are not going to cut that – they should ideally want to maximize revenue and get whatever they can. But, what they are presently doing is paying a person and then instead of getting that person to work for $20 (instead of the usual $50) an hour – they are keeping him idle.

The reason for that is simple – you can’t charge $20 from one customer and $50 from another (for long). Eventually, the one who is getting charged $50 will realize what is going on and would want to come down to $20. If you don’t let that happen – he will move to competition.

The price point of $50 has been derived based on certain profitability figures. But, now it’s acting exactly against that.

He said that retailers have come up with an easy way to get rid of excess capacity – discounts! But, you can’t sell excess capacity at a discounted price in the consultancy business. This is primarily because customers who discover this feel cheated and you risk losing them.

So given this scenario and the limitation that you can’t fire people, what do you think is the best way of going about this?

10,001 Ways To Live Large On A Small Budget: Book Review

When I read the title of the book – 10,001 Ways To Live Large, I was reminded of Clemenceau’s quote, when he heard about Woodrow Wilson’s 14 point program – “Even the good lord had only 10”

I wondered if the book promised too much, but, when I started reading this money saving book – I found that it really delivered on the promise of its title.

I opened a page randomly and found advice on:

10 Things I Never Buy New

The list had – DVDs / CDs, Video Games, Cars, Yard Toys and Workout Equipment among others.

I am an avid Wii gamer and I rarely buy any new games. I go to eBay and bid for old games, not only are they cheap – they offer you the same quality as a new game would. I know that used cars provide a lot more value for money than new cars and I have a close friend who has bought most of his gym equipment in yard sales. So, my first sense of the book was that it offers advice that is quite practical. Same was the case for my textbooks, I always tried to get cheap college textbooks by buying them used from either a store or from friends.

I got the impression that the tips came from people who have actually done this at one point or the other, which is an extremely important factor to me for obvious reasons.

I flipped a few more pages and found that there is a whole section dedicated to – Education and Self Improvement. In an age of millionaires who never completed their degree – I am a big fan of education and knowledge. Wisebread’s money saving book has devoted a full section to education and self development and is full of tips and tricks on lowering your education cost, getting cheap text books, free food on campus and also on developing a more confident self.

I randomly read a few pages of any book to get a feel of the book and gauge whether I’d like it or not. I liked what I saw in the first glance and settled down to read a little more.

After going through the book – I can confidently say that someone who is looking for ways to live frugally (not cheaply) will find this book useful.

Here are some key things that you should know about this book.

The Authors

The book is co-authored by several writers who have written books about thrift and personal finance in the past and are also actively engaged in managing their own personal finance websites.

Sections of the Book

  • Food and Drink
  • Travel
  • Health and Beauty
  • Fun and Entertainment
  • Shopping and Bargain Hunting
  • Green Living
  • Financial Planning and Budgeting
  • Credit Cards and Debt
  • Investing Your Money
  • Housing and Home Improvement
  • Career and Money Making Ideas

As you can see, the book covers most of the major aspects of life that offer a frugal and better way of spending or managing money.

They have broken the sections further into relevant sub – headers and then discussed various tips within them. For example, the section about Food and Drink discusses Wine, Dining Out, Kitchen Gadgets etc.

Language Used in the Book

The book is written in a simple, clear and concise manner. It is easy to read and you will be able to flip through the book quickly without scratching your forehead. The advice is common sense and even “folksy” and most people should like the positive tone of the book.

Criticism

The book is strung together as a manual or hand book and you will not find any story here. That’s pretty much what the title of the book says, but, I know that a lot of people (including myself) feel that any book they pick up should tell a compelling story. If you were looking for a book that had great tips as well as a story that weaved them together, then this is not the book for you.

Conclusion

On the whole, I really enjoyed the – 10001 Ways To Live Large on a Frugal Budget and I think anyone who buys this book will not be disappointed with the ten dollars they invest in it.

Kabirdass Motor Company IPO

Business of Kabirdass Motor Company

Kabirdass Motor Company manufactures and markets electric bikes and scooters under the “Xite” brand. The company was incorporated in Nov 2006 and is part of the Kabirdass Group of Companies which has a history of 42 years.

Kabirdass Motor manufactures and markets scooters and bikes that range from 250 Watts to 1500 Watts and has sold 1852 scooters and bikes in the space of 21 months.

The company is targeting students, senior citizens and house-wives for its electric bikes and scooters and currently has 33 distributors spread across Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and West Bengal. The key benefits of this product are that it is cost – efficient and environmental friendly. The 250 Watts scooter doesn’t need a license or a registration and that makes it easier for people to buy and use the scooter.

Kabirdass Motor Company: Finances

For the year ended March 2009, Kabirdass Motors had total revenues of Rs.  337.64 lakhs and made a Net Profit of Rs. 21.60 lakhs on it. For the year ended March 2008, the company had total revenues of Rs.249.46 lakhs and profits of Rs. 3.47 lakhs.

There is a component of “Other Income” worth Rs. 77.16 lakhs in its total revenues for 2009. This is a non – recurring one time income that has accrued out of transfer of license of K1500SI (a high speed electric scooter) to Hero Ecotech Ltd.

The EPS for the company for 2008 was Rs. 0.04 and for 2009 it was Rs. 0.18. The Return on Net Worth for 2008 was 0.41% and for 2009, it was Rs. 2.29%.

Objective of the IPO

Presently, Kabirdass outsources all the parts for their scooters and bikes and then assembles the final product. Kabirdass is going for an IPO in order to raise funds so that it can create some parts in house. This will help the company lower its cost and increase profitability. The company also plans to expand its capacity to 2 lakh units. The company estimates that the total cost for this project would be Rs.10,128 lakhs and they would spend the majority of their funds on these items:

  1. Land: 1,320 lakhs
  2. Plant and Machinery: 3,802 lakhs.
  3. Brand Promotion: 2,000 lakhs
  4. Margin Money for Working Capital: 1,000 lakhs

Strengths and Weakness of Kabirdass Motor

Here is a look at the major strengths/ opportunities and weaknesses / threats for the company from its prospectus:

Strengths / Opportunities:

1. Cost Effectiveness: The biggest strength has to be the fact that there is hardly any maintenance cost and the running cost turns out to be 40 paisa per kilometer.

2. Growing Market: The current market for electric scooters is estimated to be Rs. 250 crores and is expected to double in a year’s time.

3. Group Companies: Although Kabirdass Motors does not have a long operating history, the group companies have been operating profitably and have shown steady progress over the years.

Weaknesses / Threats:

1. Promoters Not Infusing Their Own Funds: For the purposes of expansion – the company is going to raise money from the public and take bank loans, but, the promoters are not going to infuse their own funds in the company.

2. Products are still maturing: The product line is evolving, which means there are alterations in the product design and this effectively raises the fixed costs of the company.

3. Imported Battery: Presently, the battery needs to be imported and no one has developed a quality product.

4. Reliability: The product is not advisable for use in the rainy season or for long distances.

5. Competition: The Company may face intense competition from large domestic players as well as cheap exports from China.

It Works But it Does Not Wash

Image by Amycqx

One of the very first jobs I did was — intern with a washing machine company. For a brief time, I used to call up customers and seek their feedback on the company’s washing machines.

There was one call that I will never forget. When I called up a customer and asked, if he was happy with his washing machine; he said — no.

He said — “it works, but, it doesn’t wash”

He was not angry at all and said it in a very — matter of fact way. He told me that when they had bought the washing machine several years ago, he was very satisfied with it, but, over the years — its effectiveness had diminished. It still runs the full cycle, but somehow it doesn’t wash the way it used to.  He never bothered to complain to the company because nothing was specifically wrong with it and he mentioned it; only because I called up.

I filed his complain in the log and I am not sure if anything happened after that.

A few years later, I got a boss who had the philosophy that you should cater to the customer who can create the maximum nuisance — first, and then deal with everyone else.

He used to say that it was not the nuisance itself, but the fact that such a person is more likely to spread negative news of your products among his friends and family and can cause a lot of harm, if left alone.

But, the really insightful thing was his definition of — nuisance. He said that there were some customers who were rude to his staff and raised tantrums, and there was really nothing he could do about that.

He had no way of controlling the temper of over a hundred salesmen who worked for him, and if someone was behaving like that — he had no control over how his team would react.

Instead, he focused on the people who complained persistently. People, who — called up week after week and were not necessarily rude, but, just didn’t let go.

He wanted his team to focus on those type of people. He told them that they had no right to be angry on such customers and the fact that they had not let up calling — shows that they are still talking about their bad experience with their friends and family and causing damage every week.

When I heard him speak like that, I thought of the man with the washing machine and how he never created any nuisance. That is probably the reason he was stuck with it. Had he complained a few times, they might have done something about it.

Personally, persistence in dealing with support staff has paid off for me. The most difficult thing was to get in the habit of picking up the phone and calling up, but, once you do that a few times — it becomes second nature and you even start enjoying it!

Since, I have been on the receiving end myself, I can’t be rude, but that doesn’t stop me from being persistent, and I think that being polite and firm is better than being rude any day.

So, don’t live with a washing machine that works, but, doesn’t wash, pick up the phone and be prepared to call up a few times.