This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
Indian Governments have been known for acting as late as possible in taking important economic decisions. But, contrary to their reputation, this time they are acting fast, quite fast. Soon after getting over with a week full of holidays, the Government is quick to announce its decision to sell its 5% stake in one of its Navratnas, Rural Electrification Corporation (REC).
For financial year 2015-16, the Government has set a target for itself to raise Rs. 41,000 crore by selling its minority stakes and Rs. 28,500 crore by selling its controlling stakes in Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs). To meet its target of Rs. 41,000 through minority stakes, the government has scheduled yet another offer for sale (OFS) on the stock exchanges tomorrow. This time the company is REC.
The government will be selling its 5% stake in the company i.e. 4,93,72,950 shares at Rs. 315 a share as the floor price. With 5% discount for the retail investors, the government will be able to raise approximately Rs. 1,540 crore from this share sale. Currently, the government holds about 65.64% stake in the company, which will come down to 60.64% post this OFS.
Before we check out the factors affecting our decision to invest in this OFS, let us first check the basic details of this offer.
Shares on Sale – The government has decided to offload its 5% stake in REC and will place 4,93,72,950 shares in the offer for sale, out of which 20% shares i.e. 98,74,590 shares will be reserved for the retail investors investing up to Rs. 2 lakh.
Offer Price – Share price of REC closed at Rs. 321.25 on the NSE today. The government has fixed Rs. 315 as the floor price in the OFS, which is a discount of 1.95% to its closing price. As always, the floor price has been disclosed by the government after market hours today.
5% Discount for the Retail Investors – Again, the government has decided to offer a discount of 5% to the retail investors. This discount will be offered on the price at which the retail investors bid in the OFS or the cut-off price set by the government, whichever is higher.
Brokerage – Unlike IPOs, stock brokers levy brokerage charges on these OFS transactions. These charges are normally higher than the rate of brokerage investors pay on their routine transactions. So, if the allotment price is fixed at say Rs. 317, the retail investors will get it at Rs. 301.15 a share plus applicable brokerage charges and taxes thereon. So, the retail investors should consider these charges in their overall cost of acquisition.
Introduction of Cut-Off price option still elusive – Offer for sale (OFS) process is still very complicated for the retail investors. They either require proper guidance or the option to bid at the cut-off price. But, this time also, the cut-off price option is missing.
Only a Single Day OFS – REC OFS will remain open for a single day only and that too, during the trading hours of the stock exchanges i.e. between 9:15 a.m. and 3:30 p.m. You’ll get to know the status of your bids by 6 p.m. and if successful, you’ll get the shares allotted by the designated stock exchange on T+1 basis.
Once bidding starts, you can check the bidding status on the National Stock Exchange as well as on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
How does an OFS process work?
If you are investing in an OFS for the first time and want to know more about the process, here is the link to check the details about it. If you have any query regarding the process, please share it here, I’ll try to respond to it as soon as possible.
How to invest?
You need to contact your broker to know how it is facilitating the bidding process. I think most of the broking firms must be providing the investment facility through their online platforms. If you don’t have access to the online platform, you should contact the customer care department of your broker and get the bid placed through telephonic confirmation.
Should you invest in REC OFS?
Power sector is one of the key drivers for a country’s rapid economic growth and poverty alleviation. Approximately 30% of India’s population do not have access to this basic amenity called electricity. For the past many many years, India’s power sector has been paralyzed with one issue or the other.
Poor financial condition of the state electricity boards (SEBs), unreasonable poll promises made by our politicians during elections, coal shortages due to scams/litigations or high import prices, poorly drafted laws of land acquisition, policy paralysis, shortage of funds or equipments for new capacities are some of the reasons due to which India’s power sector has shown an extremely poor growth.
However, the government is committed to provide electricity to all households over the next few years. Keeping that in mind, the government has recently taken many initiatives, including transparent & competitive auctions of coal mines, implementing gas price pooling policy, encouraging Coal India to meet its production targets etc. It makes me feel that the government is doing an excellent job at the ground level and it should start reflecting in growth numbers very soon.
REC is India’s biggest infrastructure finance company (IFC) for the power sector. Amidst a challenging environment for the power sector, the company has managed to keep its gross non-performing assets (NPAs) under control at 0.8%. Due to its low cost of borrowings, the company has managed to keep its net interest margins (NIMs) at a healthy 5.1% in the nine months period ended December 31, 2014.
From a long-term investment perspective, the stock price of the company is trading at extremely attractive valuations. Assuming the government to fix its allotment price to the retail investors at Rs. 300 per share, the stock is available at approximately 5 times its estimated earnings per share (EPS) and 1 time its estimated book value (BV) for the current financial year. It has also managed to keep its return on equity (RoE) above the levels of 20%. As the company is expected to post an earnings growth of around 30% in the next 3-5 years, its valuation of 5 times earnings seems strikingly cheap to me.
With the government moving in the right direction, an efficient minister heading the power ministry and the interest rates heading downwards, I think India’s power sector should do extremely well in the next 3-5 years. The need of the hour is not to mix politics with economics. Unnecessarily giving subsidies to people who can comfortably afford power makes no sense to me. I think the state governments should focus on making their electricity boards (SEBs) and power generation & distribution companies more efficient rather than subsidizing our electricity bills.
I think this offer for sale is attractively available at Rs. 315 a share and a 5% discount to this price again leaves a reasonable margin of safety for the retail investors. With the government taking it in the right direction, I expect the stock price to move past Rs. 350 levels very soon and to touch Rs. 500 in the next 15-18 months time.
93 thoughts on “Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) Offer for Sale (OFS) – April 2015 Issue”
then why my broker is dining & telling me bids are accepted upto 2.30pm because I want to increase my chances of getting allotment by following the indicative price till 3.15pm &tell me weather is it a right staergy to get full allotment
Yes, your strategy is not wrong. But, you need to ask your broker why he is denying you to modify your existing bid or put in a fresh bid.
I want to know weather I can bid at 3.15pm on an any ofs day
Yes, you can do that till the market gets closed at 3:30 p.m.
i am expecting the price in retail to be around 333.35
Rs. 333.35 or 323.35? I think Rs. 333.35 is too high.
333.35 and with 5% discount it will cost 316.68
Ok, let’s see, how it goes.
You calculated the clearing price near to perfection, thanks! Do you have any method of doing it?
I monitor the details pages on BSE and NSE. Start from the bottom of both the tables and keep adding the cumulative quantities for bids(starting from the highest) and stop once you reach the number of shares for retail. Links below.
I have no clue how the indicative price is calculated – heck it does not even seem to be a useful metric.
That’s great man !! 🙂
Clearing price is the sum of the highest cummulative bids on NSE & BSE where it first touches the issue size.
Where as Indicative price is just the weighted arithmetic mean of the bids and is as useless as the color of the shirt you wear while bidding i.e., totally useless.
🙂 Good One, thanks!
when will we know allotment price. I applied at 315 🙁
Most likely today evening or tomorrow morning.
Wat does it mean by 8.81 times on NSE and BSE.
Does DAT mean 8 times on both?
I dint get dis as the bids are placed on Bse and NSE both.
How does d allotment happen??
Yes, it is the cumulative quantity for both the exchanges, NSE & BSE. Also, it is not possible for me to explain the allotment process here on this forum. You may however check this link for some of its details – http://www.onemint.com/2012/12/28/offer-for-sale-ofs-process-explained/
For Fun, What you think will be issue price for retail.
i think 323.
🙂 only a single price is to be guessed or a price band will also do, like between Rs. 315 & Rs. 330 ?? 😉
my broker is saying bidding will not accepted after 2.30pm is he correct because I want to place bid now after following the indicative price on nse website
Bidding remains open till 3:30 p.m., but most of the brokers do not accept orders beyond 2:30 or 3 p.m. due to huge order punching pressure.
i think issue price will be around 325 but i think tomorrow we can buy from market at 312-315 range.
With this kind of demand, I don’t think it should fall below Rs. 315-320 now.
I have a query related to the bids placed. If you can access the bids placed on the website(link below), you can see bids of values higher than 340 ( ranging from 340 – 625).
My question is why will someone bid starting at 340 and above when he/she can purchase it from the market directly at a cheaper price.
Thanks in advance 🙂
Because they don’t know the concept of OFS clearly and taking it as IPO because same felling i was having.
or are there people trying to push the indicative price up by putting orders at 625 which they are planning on cancelling at 2 pm ? only intent on pushing prices up, never intend to buy at 625 ? wondering..
Many do it unknowingly, some do it for fun as well.
On the NSE OFS page, if you click details link, you will see that ppl have placed bids even at 625 (doesn’t make any sense to me). Most of the bids(20,000+) are at 315. I feel 320 is the reasonable bid price.
This is getting very dicey. I think even Rs. 320 bid is not assured of an allotment.
Amit, Try to click similar link at BSE. You will be more surprised.
One more question, non retail section is at 315.7 and floor price is going to be same for all investor (retial and non retial) then how this difference will be tackle?
i want to know it because retialer wants to get it at 319 also but non retialier is at 315.7. and now if floor price is fixed at 317 then how non retial inverstor will get the share?
I think it could be different allotment price for different categories of investors.
Currently REC (at 1.15 am) is traded @Rs.326.85 and the indicative price under OFS (Non retail) is Rs.315.46. We can predict the allotment under the category at around 317. Why should anybody buy from market @Rs.327? I see good volume too.
I think it is because of intraday trading activities and also because its fair value is more than Rs. 325.
1. Can i modify my bid?
2. What will happen if i bid at 325 and price is decided 320. At what price, i will get? (answer to this question may increase the bids at higher prices because of your followers like me. But please tell..)
1. You need to check it with your broker.
2. If you bid at Rs. 325 and the clearing price is set at Rs. 320, then you’ll get these shares allotted at Rs. 325 – 5% discount.
1) If retail investor bids at 317 and 317 is the floor price decided later on. Will the investor get 5% of this price?
2) if retail investor applies at 317 and later floor price would be decided 316.
Will retail investor get shares at 317 or 316?
1. Yes, a retail individual investor investing a total of Rs. 2 lakh or less, will get 5% discount, whatever be the allotment price.
2. Retail investor will get shares allotted at Rs. 317 – 5% discount (and not Rs. 316 – 5% discount).
Latest NSE data indicates retail portion subscribed 2.94 times with indicative price of 319.38. Is the cut off price likely to be equal to indicative price when the bid window ends given that issue is already oversubscribed?
What will be the proportion of alocation v/s shares applied for?
Allotment will be done on a price-priority basis. So, if your bid price is at or above the floor clearing price, only then you’ll get the allotment. It is very difficult to guesstimate the floor clearing price based on the current indicative price. The higher the indicative price, the higher your bid price should be from the floor price of Rs. 315.
at what price you will bid shiv
I have not decided my bid price as yet. Moreover, I would not like to create any kind of controversy or something like that by disclosing it.
How can I bid online on ICICIDirect? Its not available under IPO section on their online platform.
Under “Equity” tab you should see the OFS option.
I placed bid at 315. Not sure whether I will get it. 1st time I am bidding for OFS.
Probability of allotment is low at Rs. 315 bid price.
I placed one more bid at 325. Hopefully it will be through.
It shows that one order is placed on BSE and one on NSE. I think system automatically places order either on BSE or NSE and we have no choice of selecting exchange in this case.
Yeah, it should, hopefully. But, please remember, your investment amount should not exceed Rs. 2 lakh for your two bids.
Its not exceeding 2 lakh.
Yes, then it is perfectly fine.
even I have opted for 315 per share and am unsure if I will get allotment.
Try to modify your bid price to at least Rs. 317. It seems people with Rs. 315 bid price will not get these shares allotted.
Can retail investor opt to bid at the cut-off price?
Not for this OFS.
for the detail analysis and links to all relevant pages. Your guidance is quite valuable for new investors. This is my first time subscription to any OFS. I have applied at floor price of 315. But the indicative price on BSE link says 317.
Does this mean i will not get any shares ? At the end of day will different people get shares at different prices or same price ?
does anyone know which price model is specified by REC ?
some info found on web:
11. How will the shares be allotted to me?
The designated Stock Exchange will allot the shares either on a single price or multiple price model as specified by
the issuer. The allotted shares will be credited to the account in a manner similar to the existing equity market
It is on a price-priority basis at multiple clearing prices.
Thanks Ketki for your kind words!
Allotment and allotment price will depend on the final demand for this OFS. Currently, demand for its shares is high in the OFS. Retail subscription has already crossed 1.6 times. So, I think the government will not be able to fix the allotment price at Rs. 315. I think it is better to bid for these shares at Rs. 317-318 at least. Moreover, different people will get these shares allotted at different prices. If your bid price is Rs. 315 and the government fixes its allotment price at Rs. 317, then you’ll not get any shares.