Bharat 22 ETF – February 2019 Additional Offer

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

ICICI Prudential AMC has launched an additional offer for Bharat 22 ETF in order to raise a minimum of Rs. 3,500 crore for the government to meet its disinvestment target for FY 2018-19. This additional offer will remain open for today only and the company will accept its applications till 8 pm in the evening today.

As the name suggests, Bharat 22 ETF has 22 companies as its constituents, 3 of which are private companies – Axis Bank, ITC and L&T, and rest 19 are public sector enterprises, few of them are ONGC, SBI, IOC, Coal India, NTPC, Power Grid, BPCL and GAIL.

Bharat 22 ETF closely tracks “S&P BSE Bharat 22 Index”. This index has been designed by the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in consultation with the government.

Before we check how the issue looks from an investment point of view, let us take a look at some of its key features:

Investment Objective – Bharat 22 ETF intends to generate returns that closely correspond to the total returns earned by the securities as represented by the Bharat 22 Index. However, the performance of the scheme may differ from that of Bharat 22 Index due to tracking error and also due to the scheme expenses.

Offer Timeline – Unlike its NFO in November 2017, this additional offer will remain open for just one day only i.e. today, January 14, 2019. It is a very short period of time provided for this investment, but that is how it should be for the offers for sale (OFS) and exchange traded funds (ETFs).

Reference Market Price/NAV – As Bharat 22 ETF is already listed on the stock exchanges, you will not get its units allotted at its face value of Rs. 10. Its last trading price on the NSE today was Rs. 32.98. So, the investors should expect the allotment price to be around this price only, adjusted for a discount of approximately 3.9% for the individual investors.

The daily NAV of this scheme is based on the Bharat 22 Index, and the allotment price would be approximately equal to 1/100th of Bharat 22 Index and calculated post adjusting approx. 3.9% discount offered by the government to Bharat 22 ETF for buying the underlying Bharat 22 Index shares.

Approximately 3.9% Discount for Investors – Investors making an investment during the offer period will be given a discount of approximately 3.9% on their investment. Yes, you have read it right here. The discount you must have heard or read elsewhere would have been 5%. But, actually it is not 5%. The government is offering 5% discount to the investors of the ETF on the shares of the companies to be sold by the government. These are 20 such companies which carry a cumulative weightage of 78% in the Bharat 22 ETF. There will be no such discount on the remaining 2 companies, which carry a cumulative weightage of 22% in the Bharat 22 ETF.

Target Amount to be Raised – The government is targeting to raise Rs. 3,500 crore from this offer. However, in case of oversubscription, the government would like to retain the whole of oversubscription in order to bridge its disinvestment target gap. So, it is highly likely that full allotment will be made to the investors.

Minimum/Maximum Investment Size – Retail individual investors can invest in the scheme with a minimum investment amount of Rs. 5,000. To remain a retail investor, the investment limit has been set at Rs. 2 lakhs.

Demat Account Mandatory – As you cannot hold and trade ETFs in physical form, it is mandatory to have a demat account for you to invest in this scheme. Applications without relevant demat account details are liable to be rejected.

No Lock-In Period – As this is an ETF which gets traded on the stock exchanges, the investors can sell these units anytime post allotment.

Should you invest in Bharat 22 ETF Additional Offer?

Indian markets have underperformed the global markets by a huge margin this calendar year. We are down by approximately 3.5% year to date, as compared to an average positive return of 7% in global markets. But, this negative 3.5% too does not reflect the true picture of the kind of bloodbath we are having in our markets. Many of the mid-cap and small-cap stocks are trading below their 2014 levels, and many of them are down 50-80% from their January 2018 highs. It has been a very painful period for the investors post January 2018. So, if there is any stock or fund or a portfolio which has given a positive return, or has fallen less than 10% in the past 1 year or so, then the investors of that stock or fund or portfolio should actually thank God for saving their hard earned money.

This Bharat 22 ETF too has fallen less than 10% in the past one year, and I was really surprised to know that. Actually, Axis Bank and ITC have given positive returns in the past one year, and these two are the only stocks in this Bharat 22 ETF which have succeeded to remain in the green, while L&T and all its public sector enterprises have given negative returns.

When Bharat 22 ETF was launched in November 2017, most of its constituents were trading close to their 52-week highs, the momentum was favoring the stock markets, there was buoyancy all around and the government successfully raised Rs. 17,000 crore. The picture is pretty much different this time around. Most of its constituents are trading close to their 52-week lows, the momentum is not favoring the stock markets at all, there is pessimism all around and the government is targeting to raise only Rs. 3,500 crore, and might even fail to raise that.

Like earlier as well, I think it is the government’s policies which are going to drive the share prices of these companies and thereby this ETF. If you have a view that Modi government has done a good job for the country and its economy, and it could win the general elections in May 2019, then you should invest in this ETF for the medium to long term. However, if you think it is difficult for the BJP to make a comeback this time around, then I think you would do better to skip it for now, and wait for the markets to suffer a fall due to a knee-jerk reaction to the elections outcome and then deploy your money for long-term wealth creation.

ICICI Prudential Bharat 22 ETF Application Form

Tips to Keep in Mind While Investing in an IPO

In the first half of 2018, nearly two out of five Indian companies that made their initial public offering delivered positive returns. This came with a 27% leap in the number of deals when compared to the same period in 2017. And, in the first six months of 2018, IPO deals raised a record $3.9 billion.

What is an IPO?

An Initial Public Offering (IPO) represents the sale of shares by a company to the public for the first time, i.e., an unlisted company selling a portion of its shares to the public for raising funds (referred to as a ‘public issue’) and thereby becoming a company that is listed and tradable on the stock exchanges.

When the company needs more funds or additional capital, it can raise the same through debt or equity. In the case of IPO, the firm raises money as equity and thereby a portion of the ownership is now transferred to the public.

India has seen a fair amount of IPO activity this year.But the real questions are – which IPOs are really worth investing in, and what factors should you keep in mind before investing in an IPO?

Understand the Company and the Valuations

Take a good look at the company, the nature of the business, its track record, the management, the competition, and its business outlook. A company in the growth stage may offer more potential for long-term capital appreciation. This information is usually available in the company’s ‘red herring prospectus’ which is a document that contains information about the issuer (the company offering shares for public subscription). The valuation of the company and the attractiveness of the IPO price band can be analyzed by reviewing the financials of the company, referring research reports, or by comparing with the valuation ratios of similar companies in the market. This will help in understanding if the IPO is over-priced, under-priced, or fairly-priced, and give you a holistic view of the company’s prospects.

Study the Utilization of IPO Proceeds

Firms may raise capital for several purposes, such as expanding to new markets, research, and development, for paying off debt, and many others. Usually, those that are pursuing growth strategies offer a better bet for gains from an IPO perspective.

Look for Over-Subscription in the Right Place

Valuing the company, even by comparing ratios with those of peers, is easier said than done. IPO subscription is a factor of demand and supply as well. Over and above the general market buzz or news, a more reliable way to try and understand the demand for the IPO is to look at the over/under-subscription in the other non-retail segments, i.e., in the Qualified Institutional Buyer (QIB) category and the Non-Institutional Investors (NII) segment. If there is over-subscription in these segments, it means the demand for the IPO is high.

Look at the Investment (IPO) Grading

In addition to referring to the prospectus, demand, and other aspects, it would be prudent to study the grading for IPOs that credit rating agencies have to offer. An IPO grading of ‘4’ and above may possibly be a better choice.

Understand the Allotment Process

The IPO book building process is usually run by investment banks who serve as underwriters for the issue. IPOs can be subscribed only in lots (multiple of shares). For instance,one lot of 40 shares, or one lot of 13 shares, and so on, at a particular price band, say Rs. 150 to Rs. 165, or Rs. 1,200 to Rs. 1,298, and so on (these are just representative examples and can vary widely from issue to issue).

The rules of allotment for each category are different. For RII (retail industrial investors), if there is an under-subscription in the retail segment, the investor is offered the number of lots he has subscribed. If there is an over-subscription, then the maximum allotment can be only one lot, arrived at by a draw of lots (out of the total unique retail investor accounts) that have subscribed to the issue at or above the final price that has been arrived at by a book building process.

If you think there is potential for over-subscription, the best way to increase chances of allotment is to subscribe at the upper end of the price band, or preferably at the cut-off price, and also apply from multiple legitimate demat accounts that you may hold with family members or others.

A simple tip is to invest at the cut-off price, which indicates your consent to pay whatever is the final price arrived at within the price band. The process varies for NIIs and QIBs, where the allotment is based on the proportion of shares applied for in the case of over-subscription. Some firms also offer to fund for subscribing to IPOs, also referred to as IPO funding.

Be Clear Why You are Investing in an IPO

You should be clear of your intent behind investing in IPOs – is it for quick gains on account of potential initial upside, i.e., listing premiums, or is it for the long-term? This will determine whether you sell on listing or you hold for the long-term. Another option is to hold and watch what company insiders do after the lock-in period of an IPO and plan accordingly.

Keep an Eye on the Details in Forms

It is essential to read and fill IPO forms in detail and correctly. That will ensure your forms do not get rejected, and that you are issued the right refunds and so on. It is also advisable that you go with a reliable broker.

Conclusion

We have discussed at length the key factors to keep in mind while subscribing to an IPO. That said, be aware of the key risks in this process.

You are ultimately investing in a company and all associated market risks apply. Further, there are risks where the IPO may not be fully subscribed which may entail a dip in the share price as compared to the price band. There is also the risk that the IPO maybe over-subscribed and you may not be allotted shares. There could always be other investment avenues than IPOs which may offer higher returns. Also note that these shares will always be available in the secondary market, so there may also be no need to rush to subscribe.

IPOs are yet another investment opportunity that let you participate in a company’s growth story, or help profit through capital gains in potential listing premiums. All of this comes with its own set of risks and influential factors. Happy investing!

Author Bio: Niyati Jetly is business development manager and evangelist at CIEL – Centre for Investment Education and Learning. To get grounded in IPO funding and investing, you may consider enrolling in quick online courses developed by CIEL.

Shriram Transport Finance 9.70% NCDs – January 2019 Issue

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

Shriram Transport Finance Company Limited (STFCL) is launching its public issue of non-convertible debentures (NCDs) from today, January 7, 2019. This will be the third public issue of NCDs by the company this financial year. The company plans to raise Rs. 700 crore from this issue, including the green shoe option of Rs. 500 crore.

These NCDs will carry coupon rates in the range of 9.12% per annum to 9.70% per annum, resulting in an effective yield of 9.39% p.a. to 9.70% p.a. for the investors. The issue is scheduled to close on January 31, unless the company decides to foreclose it.

Before we take a decision whether to invest in this issue or not, let us first check the salient features of this issue.

Size & Objective of the Issue – Base size of the issue is Rs. 200 crore, with an option to retain oversubscription of an additional Rs. 500 crore, making the total issue size to be Rs. 700 crore. The company plans to use the issue proceeds for its lending and financing activities, to repay interest and principal of its existing borrowings and other general corporate purposes.

Coupon Rate & Tenor of the Issue – The issue will carry coupon rate of 9.70% p.a. for a period of 10 years, 9.50% p.a. for 5 years and 9.40% p.a. for 3 years. These interest rates would be applicable for annual interest rate options only. Monthly interest payment option is also available for 5 years and 10 years, with coupon rates of 9.12% p.a. and 9.30% p.a. respectively. For 3 years and 5 years, cumulative interest payment option is also there, with an effective yield of 9.40% and 9.50% respectively.

Categories of Investors & Allocation Ratio – The investors have been classified in the following four categories and each category will have the below mentioned percentage fixed in the allotment:

Category I – Qualified Institutional Bidders (QIBs) – 10% of the issue i.e. Rs. 70 crore

Category II – Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) – 10% of the issue i.e. Rs. 70 crore

Category III – High Net Worth Individuals (HNIs) including HUFs – 40% of the issue is reserved i.e. Rs. 280 crore

Category IV – Resident Indian Individuals including HUFs – 40% of the issue is reserved i.e. Rs. 280 crore

Allotment on First Come First Served Basis – Subject to the allocation ratio, allotment will be made on a first-come first-served basis, as well as on a date priority basis, i.e. on the date of oversubscription, the allotment will be made on a proportionate basis to all the applicants of that day on which it gets oversubscribed.

NRIs Not Allowed – Non-Resident Indians (NRIs), foreign nationals and qualified foreign investors (QFIs) among others are not eligible to invest in this issue.

Credit Rating & Nature of NCDs – CRISIL and India Ratings have rated this issue as ‘AA+’ with a ‘Stable’ outlook. Also, these NCDs are ‘Secured’ in nature.

Listing, Premature Withdrawal – These NCDs are proposed to get listed on both the stock exchanges, Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) as well as National Stock Exchange (NSE). The listing will take place within 6 working days after the issue gets closed. The investors will not have the option to prematurely redeem these NCDs back to the company, however the investors can always sell these NCDs on any of the stock exchanges.

ASBA Mandatory – Like equity IPOs, SEBI has made ASBA mandatory to apply for these debt issues also effective October 1, 2018. So, no cheque would be required to apply for these NCDs now.

Demat A/c. Mandatory – Demat account is mandatory to invest in these NCDs, as the company is not providing the option to apply for these NCDs in physical or certificate form.

No TDS – As it is mandatory to have a demat account to apply and get these NCDs allotted, no tax would get deducted at source on the interest payments. However, as the interest income is taxable, you are supposed to disclose it while filing your ITR. Moreover, in case you decide to close your demat account, you can get these NCDs rematerialised. So, if rematerialised and held in physical form after the allotment, and if the annual interest income is more than Rs. 5,000, TDS @ 10% will be deducted.

Minimum Investment Size – The company has fixed Rs. 10,000 as the minimum amount to invest in this issue. So, if you want to invest in this issue, you need to apply for a minimum of ten NCDs worth Rs. 1,000 each.

Should you invest in Shriram Transport Finance 9.70% NCDs?

There has been a considerable volatility in the stock markets, as well as the bond markets in the past 4-5 months. Market volatility is expected to continue in 2019 as well. So, the conservative investors are advised either to avoid the equity investments at least for the next 6 months or so, or invest in equities in a phased manner.

As far as fixed income investments are concerned, I expect the interest rates to remain range bound with a downward bias for the next 6 months or so. Post that, I think it would primarily depend on two factors – one, the elections outcome in May this year, and the other, macro economic outlook for India as well as China and the US.

As mentioned above as well, this is the third public issue by Shriram Transport Finance in the current financial year. Interest rates offered by the company in this issue are exactly the same as they were in the second issue of October 2018, and slightly higher than the first issue of June 2018. Still, I find these rates to be on a lower side of my expectations from a private company. I would have liked the company to offer 10%+ coupon rate for the 3-year or 5-year investment period option. Again, as the interest rates expected to be offered by the NHAI in the range of 8.50% and 9% for a period of 5 years to 10 years, I would like to consider the NHAI issue first before committing my funds elsewhere.

Application Form of Shriram Transport Finance NCDs

Note: As per SEBI guidelines, ‘Bidding’ is mandatory before banking the application form, else the application is liable to get rejected. For bidding of your application, any further info or to invest in STFC NCDs, you can contact us at +91-9811797407

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 9.50% NCDs – January 2019 Issue

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Limited (MMFSL) is launching its public issue of non-convertible debentures (NCDs) from Friday this week, January 4, 2019. This will be the first public issue of NCDs by the company this financial year. The company plans to raise Rs. 3,500 crore from this issue, including the green shoe option of Rs. 3,000 crore.

These NCDs will carry coupon rates in the range of 9.05% to 9.50%, resulting in an effective yield of 9.07% to 9.50% for the investors. The issue is scheduled to close on January 25, unless the company decides to foreclose it.

Before we take a decision whether to invest in this issue or not, let us first check the salient features of this issue.

Size & Objective of the Issue – Base size of the issue is Rs. 500 crore, with an option to retain oversubscription of an additional Rs. 3,000 crore, making the total issue size to be Rs. 3,500 crore. The company plans to use the issue proceeds for its lending and financing activities, to repay interest and principal of its existing borrowings and other general corporate purposes.

Coupon Rate & Tenor of the Issue – The issue will carry coupon rate of 9.50% p.a. for a period of 120 months (10 years), 9.30% p.a. for 96 months (8 years), 9.15% p.a. for 60 months (5 years) and 9.05% p.a. for 39 months (3.25 years). Interest will be paid only on an annual basis, as the company has not provided any other interest rate payment option.

Categories of Investors & Allocation Ratio – The investors have been classified in the following four categories and each category will have the below mentioned percentage fixed in the allotment:

Category I – Qualified Institutional Bidders (QIBs) – 20% of the issue i.e. Rs. 700 crore

Category II – Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) – 20% of the issue i.e. Rs. 700 crore

Category III – High Net Worth Individuals (HNIs) including HUFs – 30% of the issue is reserved i.e. Rs. 1,050 crore

Category IV – Resident Indian Individuals including HUFs – 30% of the issue is reserved i.e. Rs. 1,050 crore

Allotment on First Come First Served Basis – Subject to the allocation ratio, allotment will be made on a first-come first-served basis, as well as on a date priority basis, i.e. on the date of oversubscription, the allotment will be made on a proportionate basis to all the applicants of that day on which it gets oversubscribed.

NRIs Not Allowed – Non-Resident Indians (NRIs), foreign nationals and qualified foreign investors (QFIs) among others are not eligible to invest in this issue.

Credit Rating & Nature of NCDs – CARE and India Ratings have rated this issue as ‘AAA’ with a ‘Stable’ outlook. Also, these NCDs are ‘Secured’ in nature, except Series IV NCDs, the 120-months investment period option. Series IV NCDs are ‘Unsecured’ in nature.

Listing, Premature Withdrawal – These NCDs are proposed to get listed only on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The listing will take place within 6 working days after the issue gets closed. The investors will not have the option to prematurely redeem these NCDs back to the company, however the investors can always sell these NCDs on the stock exchange.

Demat A/c. Mandatory – Demat account is mandatory to invest in these NCDs as the company is not providing the option to apply for these NCDs in physical or certificate form.

No TDS – As it is mandatory to have a demat account to apply and get these NCDs allotted, no tax would get deducted at source on the interest payments. However, as the interest income is taxable, you are supposed to disclose it while filing your ITR. Moreover, in case you decide to close your demat account, you can get these NCDs rematerialised. So, if held in physical form and annual interest income is more than Rs. 5,000, TDS @ 10% will get deducted.

Minimum Investment Size – The company has fixed Rs. 10,000 as the minimum amount to invest in this issue. So, if you want to invest in this issue, you need to apply for a minimum of ten NCDs worth Rs. 1,000 each.

Should you invest in Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 9.50% NCDs?

The ongoing trade war between the US and China has resulted in a lot of volatility in the financial markets worldwide. Investors have also turned cautious with respect to the economic growth prospects of both these countries. Considering a high probability of these two major economies getting slower in 2019, interest rates are also expected to go down following some dovish measures expected to be taken by the central banks worldwide, including India.

So, it creates a base case in favour of some of the good fixed income investments yielding high returns at present. Do these NCDs fall in that category of attractive fixed income investments? I would say ‘Yes’, if you are a relatively conservative investor, and considering these NCDs are ‘AAA’ rated. As these NCDs are carrying higher interest rates as compared to the bank fixed deposits, they seem relatively attractive to invest in.

However, considering that ECL Finance and SREI Equipment Finance are offering 10%+ returns on their respective NCDs, I would say interest rates offered by Mahindra are on a lower side for my expectations. I would rather wait for the NHAI to launch its bonds issue sometime this month and announce its interest rates, which I expect should be closer to 9% for a 10-year option.

Application Form of Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 9.50% NCDs

Note: As per SEBI guidelines, ‘Bidding’ is mandatory before banking the application form, else the application is liable to get rejected. For bidding of your application, any further info or to invest in Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services NCDs, you can contact us at +91-9811797407

Reliance CPSE ETF FFO 3

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management Limited has launched its third issue of CPSE ETF. Called CPSE ETF Further Fund Offer (FFO) 3, the issue opened yesterday for the Anchor investors and will open today for the Non-Anchor investors, including the retail investors. The government targets to raise between Rs. 12,000 to Rs. 14,000 crore from this issue by selling its stake in the eleven constituents of the CPSE ETF.

Nifty CPSE Index – It is one of the indices of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) carrying 11 public sector undertakings (PSUs) in which the central government has more than 53% stake and these companies have more than Rs. 1,000 crore in market capitalisation. All these companies are profitable and are either Maharatnas, Navratnas or Mini Ratnas.

CPSE Index Composition as on October 31, 2018 & February 28, 2017

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Features of CPSE ETF Further Fund Offer (FFO) 3

High Dividend Yield & Reasonable Valuations – All the constituents of CPSE ETF are profitable and have paid around 5.25% dividend to their investors on an average. As per the data compiled by equity analysts, high dividend yield stocks carry lower volatility in returns as compared to growth stocks. So, one can expect a relatively stable performance from these stocks. Moreover, CPSE ETF has a P/E ratio of 9.37 times and P/B ratio of 1.42 times, which as compared to some of the other indices is quite attractive.

4.5% Discount for Investors – As against 3.5% discount the government had offered to the investors in its issue in March 2017, the discount has been increased to 4.5% to the investors of CPSE ETF this time around, probably because the issue size is 4 times bigger than the previous one. This 4.5% discount will be calculated on the “FFO 2 Reference Market Price” of the underlying shares of the Nifty CPSE Index and will be passed on to the CPSE ETF by the government of India.

Reference Market Price/NAV – CPSE ETF is currently trading at Rs. 24.24 on the stock exchanges. This is also its reference market price or NAV. As the investors get allotment and FFO units get listed on the stock exchanges, market price of each unit of this ETF will be linked to the Nifty CPSE Index and its returns would be quite close to the returns generated by the CPSE Index.

Investment Objective – The scheme intends to generate returns that closely correspond to the total returns generated by the Nifty CPSE Index, by investing in the securities which are constituents of the Nifty CPSE Index in the same proportion as in the index. However, the performance of the scheme may differ from that of the Nifty CPSE Index due to tracking error, scheme expenses and the initial discount of 4.5%.

Target Amount to be Raised – The government has fixed the base issue size to be Rs. 8,000 crore during this 4-day offer period. In case of oversubscription, the government plans to retain oversubscription to the extent of Rs. 4,000 crore to Rs. 6,000 crore. However, the government is yet to decide the final amount it would like to retain post the issue closure.

Minimum/Maximum Investment Size – Individual investors can invest in the scheme with a minimum investment amount of Rs. 5,000 and there is no upper limit on the investment amount. However, retail investors investing upto Rs. 2 lakhs will be given preference in allotment in case there is an oversubscription.

Allotment & Listing – As per the offer document, units of this ETF will get allotted and listed on the NSE and BSE within 5 business days from the closing date of the issue.

Demat Account Mandatory – Investors need to have a demat account to apply for this FFO. Applications without relevant demat account details are liable to get rejected.

Entry & Exit Load – This scheme is not subject to any entry load or any exit load.

Categories of Investors & Allocation Ratio

Anchor Investors – Maximum 30% of Rs. 8,000 crore i.e. Rs. 2,400 crore will be allocated to the anchor investors.

Retail Individual Investors – After the anchor book closure on November 27, retail individual investors are allowed to take up all of the remaining portion of this FFO i.e. Rs. 5,600 crore.

Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) & Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) – QIBs and NIIs will have nothing reserved for them in this FFO. They will be allotted units only if the subscription numbers of the retail investors and/or anchor investors fall short of their reserved quotas.

Application Form – CPSE ETF FFO 3

For any further info or to invest in the CPSE ETF  FFO 3, you can contact us on +91-9811797407

HDFC AMC IPO Review – Should You Invest or Not @ Rs. 1,095-1,100?

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

HDFC AMC IPO Details

Here are some other important dates as the issue gets closed on July 27:

Finalisation of Basis of Allotment – On or about August 1, 2018

Initiation of Refunds – On or about August 2, 2018

Credit of equity shares to investors’ demat accounts – On or about August 3, 2018

Commencement of Trading on the NSE/BSE – On or about August 6, 2018

Financials of HDFC AMC

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(Note: Figures are in Rs. Crore, except per share data & percentage figures)

Should you invest in HDFC AMC IPO or Not @ Rs. 1,100?

Reliance Nippon Asset Management Ltd. (RNAM) is currently the only asset management company listed on the stock exchanges. Its IPO came in the last week of October 2017 at a price of Rs. 252 a share. It touched a high of Rs. 335 on January 16, 2018, a low of Rs. 205.35 on June 1, 2018 and is currently trading at Rs. 235.75. At Rs. 235.75 a share, the company has a market cap of Rs. 14,394 crore and its price/earnings (P/E) ratio currently stands at 26.3 times. The company generates an RoE of 22% for its shareholders.

In comparison, HDFC AMC IPO is priced at Rs. 1,100 a share. At this price, the company will have a market cap of Rs. 23,319 crore and P/E ratio of 31.46 times based on its trailing twelve months EPS. The company generates an RoE of 33.41% for its shareholders. Also, HDFC AMC is the industry leader in equity-oriented funds, having 51% of its AUM in equities as against 42% industry average. Having 51% of its AUM in equities helps HDFC AMC earn higher management fee for managing these funds. Such high profitability and focus on garnering investors’ money for its high margin schemes justify its rich valuations vis-a-vis Reliance AMC, based solely on the fundamentals attributes of both the companies.

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However, the biggest factor, that makes investors avoid investing in ADAG group companies, is the quality of their management and the legacy of their actions that have led to the downfall of many of their group companies and the resulting destruction in shareholders wealth.

On the other hand, the biggest factor, that differentiates HDFC group companies from their respective industry peers and command a premium in valuations, is the quality of their management and the legacy of their actions that have resulted in a phenomenal growth of all its group companies and the resulting healthy growth in shareholders wealth.

Despite of a poor performance of many of its schemes in the last 2-3 years, I expect HDFC AMC to keep growing its business at a healthy pace and maintain its leadership in equity oriented schemes for a long period of time. At Rs. 1,100 a share, I have a view that HDFC AMC is fairly valued, but still leaves a scope of money to be made on listing, and also due to long term sustainable growth in business and profitability.

For many of us, HDFC’s year on year consistent growth of 20%+ has been a matter of a case study. So, if 20% is a magical number for the HDFC group companies, then I would expect a 20% listing gain here too with this HDFC group company.

HDFC AMC IPO Details – Price Band Rs. 1095-1100

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at shivskukreja@gmail.com

The initial public offer (IPO) of India’s second largest asset management company, HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd (HDFC AMC), is getting opened for subscription from today, July 25. HDFC AMC is the 56.97% subsidiary of HDFC Limited, while HDFC’s JV partner Standard Life owns around 37.98% in the company. This IPO is a 100% offer for sale (OFS) of around 2.55 crore equity shares by these promoters.

The company has fixed its price band in the range of Rs. 1,095-1,100 a share and no discount has been offered to the retail investors. The offer would constitute 12.01% of the company’s post-offer paid-up equity share capital. The issue will remain open for the next three days to close on July 27.

Here are some of the salient features of this issue:

Size of the Issue – This IPO is a 100% offer for sale (OFS) of 2,54,57,555 shares by the JV partners, HDFC Limited and Standard Life. This makes it a Rs. 2,800 crore IPO at the upper end of the price band i.e. Rs. 1,100. HDFC Limited and Standard Life are selling 85,92,970 and 1,68,64,585 of their shares respectively in this IPO. Post this IPO, HDFC will hold 52.92% stake and Standard Life will have 30.03% stake in the company.

Price Band – HDFC AMC has fixed its IPO price band to be between Rs. 1,095-1,100 a share and the company has decided not to offer any discount to the retail investors.

Retail Allocation – 35% of the issue has been reserved for the retail individual investors (RIIs), 15% for the non-institutional investors (NIIs) and the remaining 50% shares will be allocated to the qualified institutional buyers (QIBs).

No discount for Retail Investors or Employees – The company has decided not to offer any discount to any of its investors or to its employees either.

Bid Lot Size & Minimum Investment – Investors need to bid for a minimum of 13 shares in this offer and in multiples of 13 shares thereafter. So, a retail investor would be required to invest a minimum of Rs. 14,300 at the upper end of the price band and Rs. 14,235 at the lower end of the price band.

Maximum Investment – Individual investors investing up to Rs. 2 lakh are categorised as retail individual investors (RIIs). As a retail investor, you can apply for a maximum of 13 lots of 13 shares each @ Rs. 1,100 a share i.e. a maximum investment of Rs. 1,85,900. At Rs. 1,095 per share, you can apply for a maximum of 14 lots of 13 shares, thus making it Rs. 1,99,290.

Listing – The shares of the company will get listed on both the stock exchanges i.e. National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) within 6 working days after the issue gets closed on July 27. Thus, these shares are expected to get listed on the stock exchanges by August 6.

Here are some other important dates as the issue gets closed on July 27:

Finalisation of Basis of Allotment – On or about August 1, 2018

Initiation of Refunds – On or about August 2, 2018

Credit of equity shares to investors’ demat accounts – On or about August 3, 2018

Commencement of Trading on the NSE/BSE – On or about August 6, 2018

Financials of HDFC AMC

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(Note: Figures are in Rs. Crore, except per share data & percentage figures)

Should you invest in HDFC AMC IPO or Not @ Rs. 1,100?

I will update this post soon with HDFC AMC IPO Review.

ICICI Securities IPO Review – Should You Invest or Not @ Rs. 519-520?

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at skukreja@investitude.co.in

ICICI Securities IPO Details – March 2018 Issue

Finalisation of Basis of Allotment – On or about April 2, 2018

Initiation of Refunds – On or about April 3, 2018

Credit of equity shares to investors’ demat accounts – On or about April 4, 2018

Commencement of Trading on the NSE/BSE – On or about April 5, 2018

Financials of ICICI Securities

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Note: Figures are in Rs. Crore, except per share data & percentage figures

Peer Comparison

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Note: Market Caps and Market Prices are dated March 20, 2018. EPS have been annualised taking 9-month EPS as on December 31, 2017.

Should You Invest in ICICI Securities IPO @ Rs. 520?

Suppose, you buy 100 shares of Infosys at Rs. 1,100 with a price target of Rs. 1,150 in say a month or so. But, within a week, without any positive news or development, its stock price zooms to Rs. 1,150 odd levels. You book your profits in this trade and start expecting the stock price to come down the very next moment you sell it. It doesn’t come down and moves to Rs. 1,200 within a fortnight. You don’t buy it, but decide to buy it again at Rs. 1,150, the same price level you sold it at. It comes down to Rs. 1,150, you buy it again at Rs. 1,150 and decide to sell it at Rs. 1,220.

It goes down till Rs. 1,100, but you don’t sell it as you had decided to sell it only when it touches Rs. 1,220 or more. It goes up again to touch Rs. 1,220 levels, you sell it at Rs. 1,220 and again start expecting it to come down as you had just sold it in the expectation of its price to come down. This way, you buy and sell Infosys five times as it reaches Rs. 1,350. This is just a hypothetical example, but I think something similar happens with many of us in a bull market.

But, when the markets start correcting or a bear market takes over, we don’t square-off the same Infosys position at Rs. 1,050 (bought at Rs. 1,100 in the anticipation of Rs. 1,150). Not even at Rs. 1,000. Not even at Rs. 950. Not even at Rs. 900. Not even if goes down to Rs. 600. Then we stop logging on to our trading platforms, become investors (from traders) and decide to sell our holdings only when they bounce back to our cost price. Though something of this sort does not happen with every trader or investor, but something similar is common with most of us. I think you would agree.

So, in a bear market, we trade less frequently, and in turn, our broking firms get less brokerage from us. Similarly, in a bull market, we make money and in turn, generate good brokerage for our broking firms. Something similar happened in the first three quarters of the current financial year and like most other broking firms, ICICI Securities too raked the moolah out of it and its 9-month revenues and profits in FY 2017-18 exceeded its full year revenues and profits of FY 2016-17.

Even with best of its financial performance, the price/earnings multiple ICICI Securities is seeking in this IPO is at 31.48 times its 9-month annualised EPS for the current financial year. I think it is on a higher side, as I don’t expect stock markets to  have such similar uninterrupted upswings on a consistent basis. Like stock markets, financial performances of broking companies too are volatile. The company had an EPS of Rs. 7.41 during FY 2015-16. Imagine a similar year in which the company earns an EPS of say Rs. 8. At Rs. 520 a share or above, it would be valued at 65 times or more.

So, if you are a bull right now and have a view that the Indian stock markets will have a healthy upward movement in the next 3-5 years, and most importantly, ICICI Securities will be able to cash it one way or the other, then you should definitely subscribe to it. Conservative or risk-averse investors should avoid it.

ICICI Securities IPO Details @ Rs. 519-520

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at skukreja@investitude.co.in

ICICI Securities IPO Review – Should You Invest or Not @ Rs. 519-520?

ICICI Securities Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank, is entering the primary markets with its initial public offer (IPO) of 7.72 crore shares worth Rs. 4,017 crore. The offer would constitute 23.98% of the company’s post-offer paid-up equity share capital. Price band of the IPO is in a very narrow range of Rs. 519-520 a share and no discount has been offered by the company to the retail investors.

The issue is getting opened for subscription from Thursday, March 22 and will remain open for three business days to close on March 26. This IPO is a 100% offer for sale (OFS) by its promoter ICICI Bank and hence ICICI Securities will not get any money out of this IPO for its further expansion.

Here are some other salient features of this IPO:

Only 10% Issue is for Retail Investors – Only 10% of the issue size, excluding the portion reserved for the ICICI Bank shareholders, is reserved for the retail individual investors (RIIs) i.e. approximately 73.38 lakh shares out of total 7.72 crore shares on offer. 15% of the issue is reserved for the non-institutional investors (NIIs) and the remaining 75% shares will be allocated to the qualified institutional buyers (QIBs).

Bid Lot Size & Minimum Investment – Investors need to bid for a minimum of 28 shares and in multiples of 28 shares thereafter. So, a retail investor would be required to invest a minimum of Rs. 14,560 at the upper end of the price band and Rs. 14,532 at the lower end of the price band.

Maximum Investment – Individual investors investing up to Rs. 2 lakh are categorised as retail individual investors (RIIs). As a retail investor, you can apply for a maximum of 13 lots of 28 shares in this IPO i.e. a maximum investment of Rs. 1,89,280.

Objective of the Issue – As the entire issue proceeds will go to ICICI Bank, being the promoter of the company, the primary objective of the offer for ICICI Securities is to enhance its visibility and brand image by getting listed on the stock exchanges.

Listing – The shares of the company will get listed on both the stock exchanges i.e. National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) within 6 working days after the issue gets closed on 26th March. Here are the important dates after the issue gets closed:

Finalisation of Basis of Allotment – On or about April 2, 2018

Initiation of Refunds – On or about April 3, 2018

Credit of equity shares to investors’ demat accounts – On or about April 4, 2018

Commencement of Trading on the NSE/BSE – On or about April 5, 2018

Financials of ICICI Securities

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Note: Figures are in Rs. Crore, except per share data & percentage figures

Peer Comparison

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Note: Market Caps and Market Prices are dated March 20, 2018. EPS have been annualised taking 9-month EPS as on December 31, 2017.

ICICI Securities IPO Review – Should You Invest or Not @ Rs. 519-520?

Bandhan Bank IPO Review – Should You Invest or Not @ Rs. 370-375?

This post is written by Shiv Kukreja, who is a Certified Financial Planner and runs a financial planning firm, Ojas Capital in Delhi/NCR. He can be reached at skukreja@investitude.co.in

Bandhan Bank IPO Details

Finalisation of Basis of Allotment – On or about March 22, 2018

Initiation of Refunds – On or about March 23, 2018

Credit of equity shares to investors’ demat accounts – On or about March 26, 2018

Commencement of Trading on the NSE/BSE – On or about March 27, 2018

Financials of Bandhan Bank

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Note: Figures are in Rs. Crore, except per share data & percentage figures.

For the financial year ended March 31, 2017, Bandhan Bank reported a total income of Rs. 4320 crore as compared to Rs. 1,731 crore it reported during financial year 2015-16, registering a growth of 149.57% in the last one year. The bank reported profit after tax (PAT) of Rs. 1,112 crore for the financial year ended March 31, 2017 as against Rs. 275 crore for the financial year ended March 31, 2016, posting a growth of 304% CAGR.

Bank’s net interest margins (NIMs) are the most impressive at 10.44% in FY 2016-17, which have fallen marginally to 9.86% during 9-months ended December 31, 2017. However, its asset quality has also deteriorated somewhat, but given the market scenario, it is still well within investors’ comfort zone.

Should you subscribe to Bandhan Bank IPO @ Rs. 370-375?

Having commenced its banking operations in August 2015, Bandhan Bank is a relatively new bank, with 887 bank branches, 430 ATMs and 2,633 doorstep service centres (DSCs). Bandhan Bank’s distribution network is particularly strong in east and northeast India, with West Bengal, Assam and Bihar together accounting for 56.37% and 57.58% of its branches and DSCs respectively, as of December 31, 2017.

Though its net interest margins (NIMs) stand healthy at 9.86% as on December 31, 2017, I don’t think the bank will be able to maintain such NIMs going forward. As the bank expands its base and reaches out to other areas where it does not currently have exposure to, its margins are bound to go down. As far as its asset quality is concerned, the bank has so far been able to maintain it at a remarkably low levels. But, there too, the NPAs are bound to go up as the bank diversifies its operations and expands its loan book.

As the issue gets closed on Monday at Rs. 375 a share, Bandhan Bank will have a market cap of Rs. 44,730 crore, price to book value of 4.53 times and price to earnings ratio of 32.19 times its FY18 earnings. As compared to Bandhan, RBL’s market cap is Rs. 19,962 crore, P/BV ratio is 4.12 times and P/E ratio is 32.49 times, Yes Bank’s market cap is Rs. 71,934 crore, P/BV ratio is 3.23 times and P/E ratio is 17.96 times, and IndusInd Bank’s market cap is Rs. 1,04,579 crore, P/BV ratio is 5.05 times and P/E ratio is 29.78 times. So, at these relative valuations, Bandhan Bank looks grossly expensive to me.

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Note: Market Caps and Market Prices are dated March 15, 2018. Book Values are of March 31, 2017. EPS have been annualised taking 9-month EPS as on December 31, 2017.

IFC bought its stake in Bandhan Bank 2 years back in February 2016 at Rs. 42.93 a share for a total investment of Rs. 232 crore. I have no doubt that the bank has done remarkably well to grow itself multifold in the last 2 years. But, even then, does the bank really deserve a 9-times jump in its asking value within a span of just 2 years?

More recently, in December 2017, Bandhan’s MD & CEO, Chandra Shekhar Ghosh, exercised his right to acquire the bank’s shares at Rs. 180 a share through equity stock options (ESOPs). Though it has been done in a fair manner and he has all the right to do so as he has worked hard for the bank, I think it would have been better had the bank left something on the table for the investors too.

Given the bank is growing at a speed no other bank is growing, I think it has the potential of giving listing gains to its investors. But, the big question is – should you invest in this IPO just for its expected listing gains? I don’t think so. You need to ask yourself whether I am investing in stock markets just for having listing gains in an IPO or to create long term wealth for myself. I think the valuations are stretched for this IPO and it could have a big fall if the market sentiment takes a U-turn from here, or there is some kind of a red flag for the company.